Publications

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Journal Articles


Toward a Principled Framework for Disclosure Avoidance

Harvard Data Science Review, 2025

Characteristics of an ideal, applied disclosure avoidance system.

Recommended citation: Hawes, M. B., Brassell, E. M., Caruso, A., Cumings-Menon, R., Devine, J., Dorius, C., Evans, D., Haase, K., Hedrick, M. C., Holan, S. H., Hollingsworth, C. D., Jensen, E. B., Kifer, D., Krause, A., Leclerc, P., Livsey, J., Rodríguez, R. A., Rogers, L. T., Spence, M., … Keller, S. A. (2025). Toward a Principled Framework for Disclosure Avoidance. Harvard Data Science Review. https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.db29c137
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A Simulated Reconstruction and Reidentification Attack on the 2010 U.S. Census

Harvard Data Science Review, 2025

Recommended citation: Abowd, J. M., Adams, T., Ashmead, R., Darais, D., Dey, S., Garfinkel, S., Goldschlag, N., Hawes, M. B., Kifer, D., Leclerc, P., Lew, E., Moore, S., Rodríguez, R. A., Tadros, R. N., & Vilhuber, L. (2025). A Simulated Reconstruction and Reidentification Attack on the 2010 U.S. Census. Harvard Data Science Review. https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.4a1ebf70
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Reply to Muralidhar et al., Kenny et al., and Hotz et al.: The benefits of engagement with external research teams

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2024

Recommended citation: R.S. Jarmin, J.M. Abowd, R. Ashmead, R. Cumings-Menon, N. Goldschlag, M. Hawes, S.A. Keller, D. Kifer, P. Leclerc, J.P. Reiter, R.A. Rodríguez, I. Schmutte, V.A. Velkoff, & P.I. Zhuravlev, Reply to Muralidhar et al., Kenny et al., and Hotz et al.: The benefits of engagement with external research teams, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 121 (11) e2401501121, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2401501121 (2024).
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An in-depth examination of requirements for disclosure risk assessment

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2023

The use of formal privacy to protect the confidentiality of responses in the 2020 Decennial Census of Population and Housing has triggered renewed interest and debate over how to measure the disclosure risks and societal benefits of the published data products. We argue that any proposal for quantifying disclosure risk should be based on prespecified, objective criteria. We illustrate this approach to evaluate the absolute disclosure risk framework, the counterfactual framework underlying differential privacy, and prior-to-posterior comparisons. We conclude that satisfying all the desiderata is impossible, but counterfactual comparisons satisfy the most while absolute disclosure risk satisfies the fewest. Furthermore, we explain that many of the criticisms levied against differential privacy would be levied against any technology that is not equivalent to direct, unrestricted access to confidential data. More research is needed, but in the near term, the counterfactual approach appears best-suited for privacy versus utility analysis.

Recommended citation: Jarmin, R. S., Abowd, J. M., Ashmead, R., Cumings-Menon, R., Goldschlag, N., Hawes, M. B., ... & Zhuravlev, P. (2023). An in-depth examination of requirements for disclosure risk assessment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120(43), e2220558120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2220558120
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Congressional Politics of Financing the International Monetary Fund

International Organization, 2004

We address the question of how international public goods are financed by analyzing voting in the U.S. Congress on legislation to increase the U.S. contribution to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). We argue that legislators are more likely to vote in favor of an increase (1) the more campaign contributions they obtain from banks that specialize in international lending, and (2) the greater the share of high-skilled “proglobalization” workers in their districts. The first argument supports the inference that a financially strong IMF mitigates the risks of international lending, to the benefit of the lending banks. The second reflects our claim that voters view the IMF as a positive force for global economic integration that—following Stolper-Samuelson reasoning—benefits high-skilled workers. Lastly, we analyze IMF loan decisions and find modest support for the claim that IMF policy reflects the interests of major international banks. Overall, our results suggest that private actors within the United States have individual stakes in funding the IMF.

Recommended citation: Broz, J. L., & Hawes, M. B. (2006). Congressional Politics of Financing the International Monetary Fund. International Organization, 60(2), 367–399. doi:10.1017/S0020818306060115
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The politics of choice among national production systems

L’Année de la Régulation, 2002

What explains the substantial divergence we observe in the way market economies structure their firms? Recent research on comparative capitalism sees the development of distinctly different national production systems (NPS). While the labels are different and at times the analytic categories vary regulatory models, culture and nationality, corporate governance, labor-management relations, as some examples, by and large researchers agree on the main descriptive features of these systems and on many aspects of how they work. This allows us to move to the question of explanation and the role of politics. What political factors could account for the variance we observe among national production systems? What are the political causes that shape a country’s choice of one system rather than another? This paper focuses on three types of political mechanisms: political institutions, interest group preferences, and social networks.

Recommended citation: Gourevitch, P., & Hawes, M. (2002). The politics of choice among national production systems. L’Année de la Régulation, 6, 241-270.
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Book Chapters


21st century statistical disclosure limitation: motivations and challenges

Handbook of Sharing Confidential Data: Differential Privacy, Secure Multiparty Computation, and Synthetic Data, Drechsler, J., Kifer, D., Reiter, J., and Slavković, A. (Eds.), CRC Press, 2024

Recommended citation: Abowd, J. M., & Hawes, M. B. (2024). 21st Century Statistical Disclosure Limitation: Motivations and Challenges. In Handbook of Sharing Confidential Data (pp. 24-36). Chapman and Hall/CRC.
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Technical Reports


Redistricting Data—A Primer and History

U.S. Census Bureau, 2023

Recommended citation: Molfino, E., Whitehorne, J., Hawes, M., & Keller, S. (2023). Redistricting Data—A Primer and History. U.S. Census Bureau. https://www2.census.gov/library/publications/2023/decennial/redistricting-primer-history.pdf
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Determination of the 2020 U.S. Citizen Voting Age Population (CVAP) Using Administrative Records and Statistical Methodology Technical Report

U.S. Census Bureau, 2020

This report documents the efforts of the Census Bureau’s Citizen Voting-Age Population (CVAP) Internal Expert Panel (IEP) and Technical Working Group (TWG) toward the use of multiple data sources to produce block-level statistics on the citizen voting-age population for use in enforcing the Voting Rights Act. It describes the administrative, survey, and census data sources used, and the four approaches developed for combining these data to produce CVAP estimates. It also discusses other aspects of the estimation process, including how records were linked across the multiple data sources, and the measures taken to protect the confidentiality of the data.

Recommended citation: Abowd, J. M., Bell, W. R., Brown, J. D., Hawes, M. B., Heggeness, M. L., Keller, A. D., Mule Jr., V. T., Schafer, J. L., Spence, M., Warren, L., & Yi, M. (2020). Determination of the 2020 U.S. Citizen Voting Age Population (CVAP) Using Administrative Records and Statistical Methodology Technical Report. Working Paper CES-20-33, U.S. Census Bureau. https://www.census.gov/library/working-papers/2020/adrm/CES-WP-20-33.html
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The modernization of statistical disclosure limitation at the U.S. Census Bureau

U.S. Census Bureau, 2020

Until recently, most U.S. Census Bureau data products used traditional statistical disclosure limitation (SDL) methods such as cell or item suppression, data swapping, input noise injection, and censoring to protect respondents’ confidentiality. In response to developments in mathematics and computer science since 2003 that have significantly increased the risk of reconstruction and reidentification attacks, the Census Bureau is developing formally private SDL methods to protect its data products. These methods provide mathematically provable protection for respondent data and allow policy makers to manage the tradeoff between data accuracy and privacy protection—something previously done by technical staff. The first Census Bureau product to use formal methods for privacy protection was OnTheMap, a web-based mapping and reporting application that shows where workers are employed and where they live. Recent research for OnTheMap is implementing formal privacy guarantees for businesses to complement the existing formal protections for individuals. Research is underway to improve the disclosure limitation methods for the 2020 Census of Population and Housing, the American Community Survey, and the 2022 Economic Census. For each of these programs, we are developing new state-of-the-art privacy protection approaches based on formal mechanisms that have been vetted by the scientific community. There are many challenges in adopting formally private algorithms to datasets with high dimensionality and the attendant sparsity. In addition to formally private methods that allow senior executives to set the privacy-loss budget, our implementations will feature adjustable “sliders” for allocating the privacy-loss budget among related statistical products. The Census Bureau is implementing the settings for the privacy-loss budget and these sliders based on the decisions of the Census Bureau’s Data Stewardship Executive Policy Committee

Recommended citation: Abowd, J. M., Benedetto, G. L., Garfinkel, S. L., Dahl, S. A., Dajani, A. N., Graham, M., Hawes, M. B., Karwa, V., Kifer, D., Kim, H., Leclerc, P., Machanavajjhala, A., Reiter, J. P., Rodriguez, R., Schmutte, I. M., Sexton, W. N., Singer, P. E., & Vilhuber, L. (2020). The modernization of statistical disclosure limitation at the U.S. Working Paper CED-WP-2020-009, U.S. Census Bureau. https://www.census.gov/library/working-papers/2020/adrm/CED-WP-2020-009.html
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Regulatory Publications


Improving the Effectiveness and Efficiency of FERPA Enforcement

Office of the Chief Privacy Officer, U.S. Department of Education, 2018

Designated as “Significant Guidance” under the Office of Management and Budget’s Final Bulletin for Agency Good Guidance Practices, this publication established a new paradigm for investigation and enforcement of formal complaints under the Family Educational Rights and Privacy Act (FERPA), and implemented new mechanisms for mediation and technical assistance in order to expedite resolution of student and parent concerns.

Recommended citation: U.S. Department of Education, Office of the Chief Privacy Officer (2018). "Improving the Effectivness and Efficiency of FERPA Enforcement" [Regulatory guidance document]
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Letter to Wachter (Disclosure of Surveillance Video of Multiple Students)

Office of the Chief Privacy Officer, U.S. Department of Education, 2017

Because the physical likeness of an individual is typically considered personally identifiable information, there was longstanding uncertainty regarding when an educational institution could legally share photos or videos that showed multiple students (e.g., a video that shows the crowd at a school basketball game) vs. when the school had a legal obligation to protect that video against disclosure (e.g., a hallway surveillance video that shows a student having a medical emergency amid bystanders). This publication, and the related FAQs on Photos and Videos under FERPA provided much needed legal clarification of these requirements, with implications for school safety, law enforcement, and privacy.

Recommended citation: U.S. Department of Education, Office of the Chief Privacy Officer (2017). "Letter to Wachter (Disclosure of Surveillance Video of Multiple Students)" [Regulatory guidance document].
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Integrated Data Systems and Student Privacy

U.S. Department of Education, Privacy Technical Assistance Center, 2017

Recommended citation: U.S. Department of Education, Privacy Technical Assistance Center (2017). "Integrated Data Systems and Student Privacy" [Regulatory guidance document].
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Miscellanea